I was so encouraged
to watch President Trump’s press conference last evening (Mar. 23).
He made it clear that the USA can not shut down indefinitely. If we
continue with the current “shelter in place” and “social
distancing” for several months waiting for the virus to go away,
the US economy collapses, businesses shut down, the supply chain
disappears, and we all ultimately end up living in caves or huts made
of twigs and leaves; and we forage for roots and berries for food.
situation is that most social interaction is eliminated. People are
staying put in their homes. Businesses are running at reduced
capacity, Most forms of entertainment and professional sports are
canceled. Businesses are shutting down or severely limiting their
business. This is all being mandated by various levels of government.
These are all necessary short term measures, not a long term
way of life.
The reality is that
Coronavirus is a new virus that the medical community does not
currently have a vaccine for or drugs to treat the symptoms. There is
a lot of effort by various drug companies and government agencies to
find effective drugs and vaccines. They will most likely develop the
required drugs and vaccines; within the next 2 years or so. These
developments will help the next time we have an epidemic of
Coronavirus, perhaps in 10 years or so, but they will likely be too
late for the current pandemic.
The current pandemic
is very fast moving. Ultimately the entire population of the globe
will be exposed and that fact can not be avoided. The majority of
those exposed will recover on their own without the need for
hospitalization. Some number will have serious symptoms and will
require hospitalization, but will recover. A very small percentage of
people, with weakened immune systems, because of old age or
preexisting illnesses, will not survive. By the way, I am one of
those high risk people.
The problem is that
this country does not have sufficient medical infrastructure to
handle a sudden rise in the number of people needing hospitalization;
for any reason. The sad reality is that the US has spared no expense
to prepare itself for a global war, but has given little effort to
preparing for a global pandemic. This reality will likely never
Some people think
that we just hide at home and wait it out for a few months, the virus
will go away and they will never be exposed. Not true. After you
filter out all the useless hype the news media are spewing, the
official reason for all the “social distancing” is to “flatten
the curve” not to eliminate it. The medical infrastructure, as it
existed at the start of this pandemic, could not handle the projected
need for hospitalization of the serious cases. Therefore all the
special effort being practiced now is to spread the load on the
medical infrastructure from a big peak spread over a few weeks to a
much lower peak spread over several months. At the same time we need
a breather to beef up the medical community’s capacity. The same
number of people will get sick. The virus is not going away, a cure
is not imminent, it will not magically disappear when summer comes.
The plan of attack is we slow the spread down until the medical
infrastructure catches up. We also prepare to better handle a future
pandemics a few years from now. This or some other unknown virus will
come again someday.
majority of the global population will be exposed to Coronavirus. All
we can do at this point is fine tune the rate of exposure. And that
process seems to be working. Have faith in God. The world is not
coming to an end.